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Adapting to an Uncertain Climate: Lessons From Practice - CORE
Adapting to an Uncertain Climate – Lessons From Practice
Their adaptation to that climate was moulded by the availability of fungible resources and opportunities in other areas -human resilience, policy support, access to technology and the state of the larger economy. Because climate is rarely isolated from socio-economic phenomena, adaptation to climate extremes is generally mediated and interpreted through the lens of economic, policy and technological resources and perceived opportunities.
The future looks uncertain — doubly so given that the many and varied effects of climate change will impact on different areas of the globe in different ways.
In the face of climate change uncertainty and risk, robust adaptation includes two main conceptual types of interdependent decisions: the ex-ante decisions.
Jan 7, 2020 abstract climate change introduces substantial uncertainty to water resources planning and raises the key question: when, or under what.
Mar 31, 2019 building for an uncertain future: miami residents adapt to the to withstand several decades of climate change and sea level rise.
Jan 6, 2020 using climate change scenarios to support adaptation in us national parks. Scenarios are an important tool to support management strategies.
Dynamic planning methods are an important tool to design climate adaptation policies that adapt as uncertainties in both the climate and human system unfold over time. Long‐term planning studies cannot be expected to encompass all sources of uncertainty in climate forcing, human behavior, and natural variability.
Many decisions concerning long-lived investments already need to take into account climate change. First, due to the rate of climate change, new infrastructure will have to be able to cope with a large range of changing climate conditions, which will make design more difficult and construction more expensive.
Mar 7, 2016 climate change is a phenomenon beset with major uncertainties and researchers should include them in integrated assessment models.
The authors introduce the role of uncertainties in informing adaptation decisions, showing why and how this is important, and why decisions do not have to wait until uncertainties are resolved. They explore uncertainty assessments supporting decision-making on climate change adaptation, with sections on variability, uncertainty typology, climate change, and projection of risks.
the climateready podcast features interviews and segments on emerging trends in the intersection of climate change and water. International experts in policy, engineering, finance, and other sectors will provide cutting-edge perspectives on climate adaptation advances, challenges, and stories.
Sep 3, 2018 for example, to support water related infrastructure investments under uncertain climate change.
The focus on adaptive capacity derives from a well-established fact: being certain about the existence of climate change is not the same as being certain about its impacts. It is this uncertainty that defines the challenge of adaptation, presenting development actors with a new challenge.
Climate change projections have inherent uncertainties, but it is still important to develop, refine, and deploy tools and approaches that enable iterative decision-.
Climate change highlights the challenges for long-term policy making in the face of persistent and irreducible levels of uncertainties. It calls for the development of flexible approaches, innovative governance and other elements that contribute to effective and adaptive decision-making. Exploring these new approaches is also a challenge for those involved in climate research and development of adaptation policy.
Adapting to the impacts of climate change calls for a national adaptation strategy that provides needed technical and scientific resources, incentives to begin adaptation planning, guidance across jurisdictions, shared lessons learned, and support of scientific research to expand knowledge of impacts and adaptation.
Here are four types of uncertainty and how they are being addressed in the field of climate change adaptation. The first type of uncertainty is related to a lack of knowledge about the current situation. This can be addressed by traditional data collection and research: you make a research plan and follow a methodology. The second type of uncertainty relates to ‘truth seeking’ through multiple perspectives.
Thus, adapting to well known climatic hazards such as cyclones, droughts and floods are a good place to start to include adaptation to climate change but the two are not the same. Adaptation to climate change (acc) includes longer-term, possibly slow-onset hazards which are not always included in run-of-the mill disaster management, or what.
Adapting to climate change: an analysis under uncertainty davidgarcía-león december9,2015 abstract climate change is a phenomenon beset with major uncertainties and researchers should.
This report recommends a series of adaptation strategies for state and local water managers to improve their capacity to handle climatic changes.
Climate changes can make it more difficult for communities to maintain air quality that protect human health and the environment. The adaptation strategies below offer possible ways to address anticipated climate risks to outdoor and indoor air quality.
We define climate adaptation as human actions in re-sponse to actual and expected climate-change impacts taken in an attempt to moderate harm or exploit bene-ficial opportunities. Principled adaptation is change that increases net conservation benefit (craig 2010).
Operationalising a resilience approach to adapting an urban delta to uncertain climate changes.
Buy adapting infrastructure to climate change: advancing decision-making under conditions of uncertainty by schenk, todd (virginia tech, usa) from riba.
A revelatory study of how climate change will affect individual economic adapting to climate change: markets and the management of an uncertain future.
Abstract and figures climate change may pose considerable challenges to coastal cities, particularly in low-lying urban deltas. Impacts are, however, associated with substantial uncertainties.
Dec 12, 2008 managing an uncertain future: climate change adaptation strategies for california's water.
Although there is uncertainty about the rate and magnitude of projected temperature increases and future.
Dec 5, 2019 climate change in the fisheries and aquaculture sector. Fao fisheries and early adaptation and decision-making under uncertainty.
Instead of climate change optimizing based on the climate conditions projected by models, therefore, future infrastructure should adaptation uncertainty be made more robust to possible changes in climate conditions.
The debate on climate change has only recently begun to take into account issues related to human response or adaptation (smithers and smit 1997), and the present agenda for research on climate change is still not devoting much attention to the question of adaptation (wilbanks and kates 1999).
It provides a compelling insight into why ideas about adaptation emerge, from whom, and with what implications. This book offers a unique perspective and will be highly relevant to students of climate change adaptation, food security and poverty alleviation, as well as policy-makers and field practitioners in international development and agronomy.
The available climate uncertainty mechanisms several relevant mechanisms can be identified. First, a treaty may specify that the upper riparian delivers to the lower riparians a minimal amount of water. An agreement with wide margins of water flow can help ensure the treaty requirements are met, even during crises.
The goal is to make the area more self-sufficient in an increasingly uncertain environment around resources. Koh said the first first step in adapting to climate change, and the opportunity.
Benefits policy developers and advisors, practitioners, researchers and others interested in dealing with uncertainty in climate adaptation decision-making offers case studies from different geographical regions and a wide variety of real-life adaptation situations presents a new support framework for climate change adaptation decisions under uncertainty climate change highlights the challenges for long-term policy making in the face of persistent and irreducible levels of uncertainties.
All countries have conducted climate impact, vulnerability or risk assessments. The consideration of uncertainty within these varies widely, from a generic qualitative discussion to a probabilistic assessment based on a comprehensive modelling exercise. Most countries have developed guidance material for decision-makers concerned with adaptation.
There is a lot of abstract theorising around climate adaptation in the developing world; and competing claims are made about what knowledge or technology is most needed. Stephen whitfield's adapting to climate uncertainty in african agriculture is a rich empirical study of what actually happens on the ground among small-scale kenyan farmers.
Oct 25, 2011 community-based adaptation: from passive victims to active agents petra tschakert, pennsylvania state university the current climate.
If the problem for farmers is to deal with introduced in many existing adaptation options, to take into the worst years, an insurance scheme that protects them against account climate uncertainty: developing drainage infrastructures heavy losses when weather is unfavourable may be as efficient as in developing-country cities can be considered as an adaptation ‘‘hard’’ adaptation options involving costly infrastructure. Measure; making these drainage infrastructures able to cope with.
May 23, 2019 how california and china can adapt to an uncertain climate future.
Coping with uncertainty in climate change adaptation merging top down and bottom up approaches.
Sep 24, 2020 resilient water management tools and approaches addressing climate risk and other uncertainties through innovative adaptation strategies.
Based on personal experience as a decision-maker in ecuador, this article proposes a framework for defining and consolidating climate change adaptation.
Nov 27, 2020 by jon herman, uc davis multi-sector infrastructure systems face a number of uncertainties that are difficult to characterize and quantify.
We are uncertain about how climate change will affect our future quality of life.
Many decisions concerning long-lived investments need to take into account climate change. First, due to the rate of climate change, new infrastructure will have to be able to cope with a large range of changing climate conditions, which will make design more difficult and construction more expensive.
Adapting to climate change: an analysis under uncertainty davidgarcía-león december9,2015 abstract climate change is a phenomenon beset with major uncertainties and researchers should includetheminintegratedassessmentmodels. However,includingfurtherdimensionsiniam models comes at a cost. In particular, it makes most of these models suffer from the curse.
A revelatory study of how climate change will affect individual economic decisions, adapting to climate change markets and the management of an uncertain.
The theme of “dealing and communicating climate and climate change uncertainties in support of adaptation decision-making” develop and publish. These advances in the form of a final publication intended to serve as a ‘guide’ to deal with uncertainty in adaptation decision-making that is able to provide practical case-study examples.
They go on to explore uncertainty assessments supporting decision-making on climate change adaptation, with sections on variability, uncertainty typology, climate change and projection of risks. A discussion of national adaptation planning follows with sections on sources and levels of uncertainty, communication of uncertainty and guidance for adaptation planning under uncertainty.
Integrating climate risk management into existing design, planning, and operations workflows (or mainstreaming), in contrast to adding novel decision processes for climate adaptation alone, can provide many adaptation benefits. 14, 15, 16 additional climate risk reduction, particularly under the most severe longer-term climate change.
Apr 16, 2019 uncertainty in climate change projections poses a challenge to infrastructure planning for climate change adaptation.
Research methodology the economist intelligence unit conducted a survey of 705 companies globally, representing a range of business sectors, during january and february 2011.
The case of climate change adaptation in campeche, mexico uncertain future, robust decisions.
Researchers say climate change is already affecting many parts of the world—rising sea levels, heat waves.
Operationalising a resilience approach to adapting an urban delta to uncertain climate changes this paper presents a case-study on a system-oriented strategy: strengthening the resilience of the impacted system to climatic changes.
Abstract we propose a generic framework to characterize climate change adaptation uncertainty according to three dimensions: level, source and nature.
For assessing climate change adaptation options under uncertainty information on three economic approaches to assess climate change adaptation options.
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